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20 januari 2020A typical La Niña winter in the U.S. brings rain and snow to the Northwest and unusually dry conditions to most of the southern tier of the U.S., according to the prediction center. If not, La Niña winters can be unusually mild.". In 2005, the NHC had to use six letters off the Greek alphabet to account for the record number of storms. “It is exacerbating existing heat and drought issues.”, Wildfires in the West turn deadly: 'I never want to see California again'. That season didn’t make it to its 23rd tropical or subtropical storm until Oct. 22. There’s active debate on whether this will hold true, particularly in the Atlantic. "Typically, what ends Atlantic hurricane seasons is that vertical wind shear gets too strong," says Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist at Colorado State University. Wildfires in California and other western states are getting worse every year, but is climate change all to blame? As another possible consequence of the abnormally warm SSTs in … There are a lot of comparisons out there to the record-breaking 2005 Atlantic hurricane season because not only is this year's hurricane season currently on pace to match the number of named storms, it also happened to be a year where La Niña developed in the autumn. El Niño and La Niña are opposite phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle.
In the Atlantic, having La Nina develop in the last three months of hurricane season could mean more storms of greater power.
It was once assumed that Atlantic hurricane activity waxed and waned with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), a sequence of warming and cooling over the North Atlantic interpreted as a long-term cycle based on historical data. Weather phenomenon may keep needed rains at bay in U.S. West, La Nina can mean more, stronger hurricanes in the Atlantic. Scientists use the Oceanic Nino Index to measure the deviations from normal sea-surface temperatures which are produced by El Niño and La Niña. For what is likely to be only the second time in recorded history, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) will have to use the Greek alphabet for additional storm names. ", FEMA said on Friday: "The centre of Fay will move near or over portions of the New Jersey coast this evening and then move inland over south-eastern New York and western New England tonight and Saturday. So what will the next storm be named, after Wilfred? Studies are piling up on other ways in which climate change affects hurricanes, too: As another possible consequence of the abnormally warm SSTs in the Atlantic, intensified by climate change, several of the storms that formed early in the season formed much farther north than usual. Which means that if this were a "normal" hurricane season, we would still likely have a few more storms possible through the end of November. And in the Atlantic, a record number tropical storms have formed by September, including Hurricane Laura, which killed more than a dozen people across the Caribbean and the U.S. last month. NOAA said this year's La Niña (translated from Spanish as “little girl”) is likely to persist through the winter. Scientists say there is a 75% chance that La Niña will be in place from December 2020 through February 2021. The two have complementary weather effects, and La Niña begins when strong, easterly winds blow the topmost, warmer layer of water towards Australia and Indonesia. The NHC does not use the letters Q, U, X, Y, and Z because there aren't enough names to fill those letters. “The potential for La Niña development was factored into our updated Atlantic hurricane season outlook issued in August,” he added. This was one of the main factors in the significantly above average forecasts leading up to and during the current hurricane season. As of Sept. 23, with more than two months left in hurricane season, the Atlantic had already spit out 23 named storms — roughly double its long-term average for an entire season. Several studies found that the record-smashing rains in Southeast Texas from Hurricane Harvey were, Slower movement: An apparent slowing of average tropical cyclone speed globally since the 1950s includes a trend toward slower-moving systems. “Given the extremely warm Caribbean and the push towards La Niña conditions, I do expect the rest of the season to be quite active,” Klotzbach said.
NOAA declares La Niña, which is likely to affect hurricane season and dominate winter. According to the NOAA, "La Niña is a natural ocean-atmospheric phenomenon marked by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean near the equator, the opposite of El Niño which features warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in that region." See today's front and back pages, download the newspaper,
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