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20 januari 2020A La Nina watch means the chance of La Nina forming in 2020 is around 50 per cent — roughly double the average likelihood.
The entire eastern seaboard will be hoping the outlook comes to fruition, but particularly Queensland, as large areas of the state have dried up significantly since the rain event at the beginning of the year. The impact of La Niña could further tighten domestic livestock supply, given the heightened retention of breeding stock across the cattle and sheep markets, strengthening the transition towards a herd and flock rebuild. The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) is currently weak or indiscernible.
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Beef Central, September 16, 2020 All surveyed international climate models indicate La Niña thresholds will be met from September until at least the end of the year, with most models maintaining these values into early 2021, according to a Bureau of Meteorology update released today. The impact of La Niña could further tighten domestic livestock supply, given the heightened retention of breeding stock across the cattle and sheep markets, strengthening the transition towards a herd and flock rebuild.
Maximum temperatures are forecast to be cooler-than-average for large parts of the southern states over the coming months, however, the northern mainland and Tasmania are likely to see a warmer-than-average September to November period.
Maps of rainfall for these and any other year are available from our Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Click on image to enlarge. events on Australian rainfall patterns. The name La Niña originates from Spanish, meaning "the girl", analogous to El Niño meaning "the boy".
The effect of La Niña events on winter/spring rainfall is limited for coastal areas of Victoria and New South Wales, extending almost to Fraser Island in southern Queensland. temperature. La Niña events (1910, To see maps of total winter/spring rainfall in each of these La Niña years, select the year in the table.
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Most notable is the much broader impact across northern and central Australia. As with eastern Queensland, this is significant in northern NSW because the region experiences a natural summer rainfall maximum. This page was created at 10:49 on Wednesday 30 September 2020 (UTC), © Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2020, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533 532) | CRICOS Provider 02015K | Disclaimer | Privacy | Accessibility, 2010–11 and 2011–12 La Niña events in Australia, IOD negative and positive average rainfall, About El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Decadal & multi-decadal The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is expected to be weakly positive for the rest of September. La Niña and IOD impacts on Australia and Spring Outlook 2020 Over spring and early summer 2020-21, it is likely that a La Niña event will occur at the same time as a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). "La Nina is a cooling in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean," Dr Watkins said. The Bureau of Meteorology’s (BOM) latest climate outlook is forecasting a wetter-than-average spring for most of the eastern mainland, in part due to La Niña conditions developing over the Pacific Ocean.
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